/ Technology

USC/LA Times Polls Was Right About The Presidential Election

November 8, 2016 Hanalei, Kauai.

There are some postings out there wondering "How the Polls Got It Wrong." Well, there was one poll that was right: USC/LA Times.

USC Polling That Showed Trump Would Win

The 2016 USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election Poll represents a pioneering approach to tracking changes in Americans' opinions throughout a campaign for the White House. Around 3000 respondents in our representative panel are asked questions on a regular basis on what they care about most in the election, and on their attitudes toward their preferred candidates. The "Daybreak poll" is updated just after midnight every day of the week.

Yesterday, Bing was at 90% that Clinton would win. Sympile was smugly at 99.999%. For months, mainstream polling laughed at the USC/LA Times Poll that put Trump ahead.

Yet, we all now know that Donald Trump is going to be the next President of the United States. There is likely to be overreaction. The stock market is plummeting and is expected to open about 5% lower tomorrow. There are many liberal pundits who are wringing their hands. "Woe is us." At the same time, many other voters are celebrating.

The sun will rise tomorrow. The election wasn't rigged. And Big Data is not always right. Even Sympile.

Al Weiser  

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